Key developments: – The European Union has formally opened post‑Brexit trade talks with the United Kingdom, signalling a new phase of economic engagement after the UK’s departure from the bloc. – At the same time, the EU announced…
Continue reading EU and China Ramp Up Trade Negotiations Amid Rising TensionsKey developments: Government data show that Indian exports surged 23% in September to $44.4 billion while imports rose only 8% to $74.61 billion, cutting the overall trade gap. Export growth for the April‑September period also accelerated, reaching $259.89 billion, up 18.51%…
Continue reading India’s September exports jump 23%, narrowing trade deficitKey developments: India reported a 23% jump in September exports to $44.4 billion, narrowing its trade deficit, while the EU launched post‑Brexit trade negotiations with the United Kingdom and China indicated a softening of trade barriers. Why they matter:…
Continue reading India’s Export Surge Tightens Trade Deficit as Global Trade Talks Gain MomentumKey developments: A recent Wall Street Journal survey of economists shows the average market view of a recession in the next year falling to just 24%, down from higher levels in previous weeks. At the same time, Bloomberg…
Continue reading Recession Odds Ease to 24% as Distressed Corporate Loans SurgeKey developments: A recent Wall Street Journal poll of economists shows the average chance of a recession in the next year has slipped to 24 percent, down from higher levels in previous weeks. This decline reflects easing concerns…
Continue reading Recession Odds Fall to 24% Amid Mixed Economic SignalsKey developments: A recent Wall Street Journal poll of economists shows the average probability of a recession in the next 12 months fell to 24%, down from higher levels in previous weeks. Why it matters: A lower recession…
Continue reading Recession Odds Slip to 24% as Economists See Lower RiskThe International Monetary Fund has increased its projection for world‑wide GDP expansion in 2026 to 3.1%, up from the 3.0% estimate in July and slightly below the 3.5% pace recorded last year. The upgrade reflects a “demand impulse”…
Continue reading IMF lifts 2026 global growth outlook to 3.1% as AI boom cushions war‑driven energy shocksKey developments: The International Monetary Fund has revised its forecast for 2026 global GDP growth upward to 3.1%, up from a 3.0% estimate in July and still above the 3.5% growth seen last year. The upgrade reflects a…
Continue reading IMF lifts 2026 global growth outlook to 3.1% as AI investment offsets energy‑price shocksThe International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for world‑wide economic expansion in 2026 to 3.1%, a modest upgrade from the 3% projection made in July. The boost comes largely from a surge in artificial‑intelligence‑related investment, which the…
Continue reading IMF lifts 2026 global growth outlook to 3.1% as AI investment offsets energy‑price shocksKey developments: The International Monetary Fund released its October 2026 World Economic Outlook, lifting its global growth estimate to 3.1% for this year—up from a July projection of 3.0%—and forecasting 3.4% growth in 2027. The upgrade reflects a…
Continue reading IMF Raises 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 3.1% Amid Rising Geopolitical and Debt Risks
